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Negative Savings in 2006?

February 01, 2007

 

On January 29, 2007, the Commerce Department released statistics indicating that Americans achieved a negative personal savings rate -- minus 0.5% -- the lowest since the Great Depression. As a whole, Americans not only didn't save, they dipped into savings to support their lifestyle. Anyone surprised?

I'm not. Despite all the positive reports concerning our economy, the fact is that many Americans are still hurting -- and it doesn't take an advanced degree in Economics to figure out some of the reasons. Here are just a few that quickly come to mind -- all tied to monthly cash flow:

Rising cost of healthcare. According to a study released by the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation, the cost of health insurance rose at a rate more than triple that of  workers' earnings between the years 2004 and 2005. To cope with increased costs, employers are beginning to reduce coverage and require the employee to pay more of the monthly premium.

Increased costs of credit. According to Bankrate.com, the prime rate more than doubled between 2003 and 2006 and the federal funds rate increased by over 400%! Most variable credit card interest rates are tied to one of these rates, or to the LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate). When these rates go up, so do the rates on all variable interest rate credit cards.

But that's not all. Very quietly in 2005, federal legislation was passed that may have substantially increased the monthly minimum payment requirement on your credit cards, starting in 2006. And banks have been looking at your credit history differently too. Let's say you've had a pristine payment record with Bank A and Bank B, but recently missed a payment date with Bank C on a couple of occasions. You were only a day or so late; that shouldn't be a problem, right? Wrong! Bank C will most likely saddle you with late penalties and an interest rate as high as 30% -- and your interest rate just increased for Bank A and Bank B too, thanks to a "universal default" clause in your card agreement . Your pristine record doesn't count, and your minimum monthly payments just went through the roof! Think this sounds like usury? Think again! Your bank is probably federally chartered; if so, state usury laws don't apply.

Variable interest mortgage payments have also increased. You took advantage of the low interest rates and bought a bigger house than you needed. After all, the interest was tax deductible, the house was an investment, and the payments were low.

Now the variable interest rates are high, so monthly payments have increased dramatically. You may have to sell the house, but you're worried you can't unload it without getting killed in a market filled with other sellers just like you. So you keep struggling to make the payments while you wait for better days.

The price of energy. The cost of a barrel of oil hit $77 in 2006. That had a ripple effect throughout the entire economy. Your electricity bill and the cost of gasoline at the pump went up. Increased production and transportation costs on food, clothing, medicine, toys, and just about everything else were passed along to the consumer as well.

Some economists have theorized that rising home prices from a boom market created a "wealth effect," allowing Americans to feel more wealthy and support greater spending while dipping into savings to support their lifestyle. I certainly would not dispute the opinions of these learned experts -- but I would assert that in many cases, Americans had negative savings because they just didn't have much choice.

 

 

 

 


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